Player breakdown
Fred Gibson
Georgia · 2005 Draft Class
6-4196 lbs4th round, 131st overallAge: ~43
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
80%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Georgia | SEC | 10 | 33 | 772 | 6 | 23.4 | 77.2 |
| 2002 | Georgia | SEC | 12 | 43 | 758 | 4 | 17.6 | 63.2 |
| 2003 | Georgia | SEC | 11 | 36 | 553 | 3 | 15.4 | 50.3 |
| 2004 | Georgia | SEC | 12 | 49 | 801 | 7 | 16.3 | 66.8 |
| Career | 45 | 161 | 2,884 | 20 | 17.9 | 64.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
45%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.155
Improvement accelerating (+0.0) — getting better faster each year+0.450
BMI 23.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (196 lbs)+0.220
Top Negative Factors
+9.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Recruit dominator synergy-0.334
Efficiency consistency: 1.31 — highly consistent across seasons-0.317