Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gavin Freeman
Gavin Freeman

Player breakdown

Gavin Freeman

Oklahoma State · 2026 Draft Class

5-8185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022OklahomaBig 1213346015.33.5
2023OklahomaBig 12131995157.3
2024Oklahoma StateBig 12464507.511.3
2025Oklahoma StateBig 12125348149.140.1
Career428166758.215.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.149
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.37x — route-running independent of system+0.177
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.153

Top Negative Factors

-19.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.723
Improvement accelerating (+9.5) — getting better faster each year-0.563
Physical production synergy-0.562

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)