Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Gavin Harris
Gavin Harris

Player breakdown

Gavin Harris

New Mexico State · 2026 Draft Class

6-3240 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

2%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Central MichiganMAC1011173115.717.3
2025New Mexico StateCUSA1237531114.444.3
Career2248704214.732.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.446
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.265
Class YPR rank: top 18% — elite per-target efficiency+0.256

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.598
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.504
Improvement accelerating (+2.1) — getting better faster each year-0.422

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)