Player breakdown
Germie Bernard
Alabama · 2026 Draft Class
6-1206 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
High
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
67%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 12 | 7 | 128 | 2 | 18.3 | 10.7 |
| 2023 | Washington | Pac-12 | 14 | 34 | 419 | 2 | 12.3 | 29.9 |
| 2024 | Alabama | SEC | 13 | 50 | 794 | 2 | 15.9 | 61.1 |
| 2025 | Alabama | SEC | 14 | 64 | 862 | 7 | 13.5 | 61.6 |
| Career | 53 | 155 | 2,203 | 13 | 14.2 | 41.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
24%
ML model output
Context Prob
85%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 33% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.212
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.91 — elite recruit at elite school+0.203
BMI 27.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (206 lbs)+0.183
Top Negative Factors
+5.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Physical production synergy-0.447
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.406