Player breakdown
Deebo Samuel
South Carolina · 2019 Draft Class
5-11214 lbs2nd round, 36th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
High1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
68%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | SFO | 15 | 11 | 81 | 57 | 802 | 14.1 | 3 | 53.5 |
| 2020 | SFO | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 391 | 11.8 | 1 | 55.9 |
| 2021 | SFO | 16 | 15 | 121 | 77 | 1,405 | 18.2 | 6 | 87.8 |
| 2022 | SFO | 13 | 12 | 94 | 56 | 632 | 11.3 | 2 | 48.6 |
| 2023 | SFO | 15 | 15 | 89 | 60 | 892 | 14.9 | 7 | 59.5 |
| 2024 | SFO | 15 | 15 | 81 | 51 | 670 | 13.1 | 3 | 44.7 |
| 2025 | WAS | 16 | 12 | 99 | 72 | 727 | 10.1 | 5 | 45.4 |
| Career | 97 | 85 | 609 | 406 | 5,519 | 13.6 | 27 | 56.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | South Carolina | SEC | 5 | 12 | 161 | 1 | 13.4 | 32.2 |
| 2016 | South Carolina | SEC | 10 | 59 | 783 | 1 | 13.3 | 78.3 |
| 2017 | South Carolina | SEC | 3 | 15 | 250 | 3 | 16.7 | 83.3 |
| 2018 | South Carolina | SEC | 12 | 62 | 882 | 11 | 14.2 | 73.5 |
| Career | 30 | 148 | 2,076 | 16 | 14.0 | 69.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
70%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.375
Recruit dominator synergy+0.370
0.53 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.235
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.360
Improvement accelerating (+4.5) — getting better faster each year-0.314
+13.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.310