Player breakdown
Grant Dubose
Charlotte · 2023 Draft Class
6-2201 lbs7th round, 256th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
17%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | MIA | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Charlotte | CUSA | 12 | 62 | 892 | 6 | 14.4 | 74.3 |
| 2022 | Charlotte | CUSA | 12 | 64 | 792 | 9 | 12.4 | 66 |
| Career | 24 | 126 | 1,684 | 15 | 13.4 | 70.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
14%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.760
0.62 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.210
Efficiency consistency: 1.08 — highly consistent across seasons+0.202
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.671
Physical production synergy-0.458
+14.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.293