Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Gallup
Michael Gallup

Player breakdown

Michael Gallup

Colorado St. · 2018 Draft Class

6-1205 lbs3rd round, 81st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

91%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2018DAL168683350715.4231.7
2019DAL1412113661,10716.8679.1
2020DAL16151055984314.3552.7
2021DAL98623544512.7249.4
2022DAL1411743942410.9430.3
2023DAL1713573441812.3224.6
Career86674792663,74414.12143.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016Colorado StateMWC13761,2721416.797.8
2017Colorado StateMWC131001,413714.1108.7
Career261762,6852115.3103.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

94%

ML model output

Context Prob

77%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.158
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.390
36.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.337

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.387
Recruit dominator synergy-0.196
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.159

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)