
Player breakdown
Michael Gallup
Colorado St. · 2018 Draft Class
6-1205 lbs3rd round, 81st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
91%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | DAL | 16 | 8 | 68 | 33 | 507 | 15.4 | 2 | 31.7 |
| 2019 | DAL | 14 | 12 | 113 | 66 | 1,107 | 16.8 | 6 | 79.1 |
| 2020 | DAL | 16 | 15 | 105 | 59 | 843 | 14.3 | 5 | 52.7 |
| 2021 | DAL | 9 | 8 | 62 | 35 | 445 | 12.7 | 2 | 49.4 |
| 2022 | DAL | 14 | 11 | 74 | 39 | 424 | 10.9 | 4 | 30.3 |
| 2023 | DAL | 17 | 13 | 57 | 34 | 418 | 12.3 | 2 | 24.6 |
| Career | 86 | 67 | 479 | 266 | 3,744 | 14.1 | 21 | 43.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Colorado State | MWC | 13 | 76 | 1,272 | 14 | 16.7 | 97.8 |
| 2017 | Colorado State | MWC | 13 | 100 | 1,413 | 7 | 14.1 | 108.7 |
| Career | 26 | 176 | 2,685 | 21 | 15.3 | 103.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
94%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.158
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.390
36.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.337
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.387
Recruit dominator synergy-0.196
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.159