Player breakdown
Khalil Shakir
Boise St. · 2022 Draft Class
6-0196 lbs5th round, 148th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
22%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | BUF | 14 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 161 | 16.1 | 1 | 11.5 |
| 2023 | BUF | 17 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 611 | 15.7 | 2 | 35.9 |
| 2024 | BUF | 15 | 9 | 100 | 76 | 821 | 10.8 | 4 | 54.7 |
| 2025 | BUF | 16 | 10 | 95 | 72 | 719 | 10 | 4 | 44.9 |
| Career | 62 | 31 | 260 | 197 | 2,312 | 11.7 | 11 | 37.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Boise State | MWC | 10 | 16 | 170 | 1 | 10.6 | 17 |
| 2019 | Boise State | MWC | 14 | 63 | 872 | 6 | 13.8 | 62.3 |
| 2020 | Boise State | MWC | 7 | 52 | 719 | 6 | 13.8 | 102.7 |
| 2021 | Boise State | MWC | 12 | 77 | 1,117 | 7 | 14.5 | 93.1 |
| Career | 43 | 208 | 2,878 | 20 | 13.8 | 66.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
18%
ML model output
Context Prob
44%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.406
BMI 26.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (196 lbs)+0.213
Speed score 101.8 — strong weight-adjusted athleticism+0.151
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.586
Improvement accelerating (+5.6) — getting better faster each year-0.325
+12.5 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.254