Player breakdown
Greg Childs
Arkansas · 2012 Draft Class
6-3219 lbs4th round, 134th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Arkansas | SEC | 12 | 18 | 273 | 2 | 15.2 | 22.8 |
| 2009 | Arkansas | SEC | 13 | 48 | 894 | 7 | 18.6 | 68.8 |
| 2010 | Arkansas | SEC | 8 | 46 | 659 | 6 | 14.3 | 82.4 |
| 2011 | Arkansas | SEC | 11 | 21 | 240 | 0 | 11.4 | 21.8 |
| Career | 44 | 133 | 2,066 | 15 | 15.5 | 47.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.326
BMI 27.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (219 lbs)+0.236
Physical production synergy+0.186
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.517
-10.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.568
0.34 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.294