Player breakdown
Denarius Moore
Tennessee · 2011 Draft Class
6-0194 lbs5th round, 148th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | OAK | 13 | 10 | 76 | 33 | 618 | 18.7 | 5 | 47.5 |
| 2012 | OAK | 15 | 15 | 114 | 51 | 741 | 14.5 | 7 | 49.4 |
| 2013 | OAK | 13 | 10 | 86 | 46 | 695 | 15.1 | 5 | 53.5 |
| 2014 | OAK | 10 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 115 | 9.6 | 0 | 11.5 |
| Career | 51 | 37 | 303 | 142 | 2,169 | 15.3 | 17 | 42.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Tennessee | SEC | 14 | 14 | 212 | 0 | 15.1 | 15.1 |
| 2008 | Tennessee | SEC | 12 | 11 | 271 | 2 | 24.6 | 22.6 |
| 2009 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 40 | 540 | 7 | 13.5 | 41.5 |
| 2010 | Tennessee | SEC | 13 | 47 | 981 | 9 | 20.9 | 75.5 |
| Career | 52 | 112 | 2,004 | 18 | 17.9 | 38.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
76%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 26.3 — ideal frame for NFL WR (194 lbs)+0.254
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.89 — elite recruit at elite school+0.227
Physical production synergy+0.221
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.486
-15.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.593
Improvement accelerating (+3.6) — getting better faster each year-0.289