Player breakdown
Lee Evans
Wisconsin · 2004 Draft Class
5-11197 lbs1st round, 13th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
94%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | BUF | 16 | 11 | 74 | 48 | 843 | 17.6 | 9 | 52.7 |
| 2005 | BUF | 16 | 15 | 91 | 48 | 743 | 15.5 | 7 | 46.4 |
| 2006 | BUF | 16 | 15 | 137 | 82 | 1,292 | 15.8 | 8 | 80.8 |
| 2007 | BUF | 16 | 16 | 113 | 55 | 849 | 15.4 | 5 | 53.1 |
| 2008 | BUF | 16 | 16 | 102 | 63 | 1,017 | 16.1 | 3 | 63.6 |
| 2009 | BUF | 16 | 16 | 96 | 44 | 612 | 13.9 | 7 | 38.3 |
| 2010 | BUF | 13 | 13 | 84 | 37 | 578 | 15.6 | 4 | 44.5 |
| 2011 | BAL | 9 | 2 | 26 | 4 | 74 | 18.5 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Career | 118 | 104 | 723 | 381 | 6,008 | 15.8 | 43 | 50.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 12 | 30 | 548 | 3 | 18.3 | 45.7 |
| 2001 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 12 | 75 | 1,545 | 9 | 20.6 | 128.8 |
| 2003 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 13 | 64 | 1,213 | 13 | 19 | 93.3 |
| Career | 37 | 169 | 3,306 | 25 | 19.6 | 89.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
93%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.150
Physical production synergy+0.461
+34.9 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.293
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.410
Recruit dominator synergy-0.243
18.3 YPR in first season — elite freshman efficiency-0.175