Player breakdown
Larry Fitzgerald
Pittsburgh · 2004 Draft Class
6-3225 lbs1st round, 3rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~43
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 115 | 58 | 780 | 13.4 | 8 | 48.8 |
| 2005 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 165 | 103 | 1,409 | 13.7 | 10 | 88.1 |
| 2006 | ARI | 13 | 13 | 111 | 69 | 946 | 13.7 | 6 | 72.8 |
| 2007 | ARI | 15 | 15 | 167 | 100 | 1,409 | 14.1 | 10 | 93.9 |
| 2008 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 154 | 96 | 1,431 | 14.9 | 12 | 89.4 |
| 2009 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 153 | 97 | 1,092 | 11.3 | 13 | 68.3 |
| 2010 | ARI | 16 | 15 | 173 | 90 | 1,137 | 12.6 | 6 | 71.1 |
| 2011 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 154 | 80 | 1,411 | 17.6 | 8 | 88.2 |
| 2012 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 156 | 71 | 798 | 11.2 | 4 | 49.9 |
| 2013 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 135 | 82 | 954 | 11.6 | 10 | 59.6 |
| 2014 | ARI | 14 | 13 | 103 | 63 | 784 | 12.4 | 2 | 56 |
| 2015 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 145 | 109 | 1,215 | 11.1 | 9 | 75.9 |
| 2016 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 150 | 107 | 1,023 | 9.6 | 6 | 63.9 |
| 2017 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 161 | 109 | 1,156 | 10.6 | 6 | 72.3 |
| 2018 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 112 | 69 | 734 | 10.6 | 6 | 45.9 |
| 2019 | ARI | 16 | 16 | 109 | 75 | 804 | 10.7 | 4 | 50.3 |
| 2020 | ARI | 13 | 13 | 72 | 54 | 409 | 7.6 | 1 | 31.5 |
| Career | 263 | 261 | 2335 | 1432 | 17,492 | 12.2 | 121 | 66.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Pitt | Big East | 13 | 69 | 1,005 | 12 | 14.6 | 77.3 |
| 2003 | Pitt | Big East | 13 | 92 | 1,672 | 22 | 18.2 | 128.6 |
| Career | 26 | 161 | 2,677 | 34 | 16.6 | 103.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
98%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.151
Physical production synergy+0.501
+46.0 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.250
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.406
Recruit dominator synergy-0.238
Height-adjusted speed: 4.30s — elite speed for frame-0.151