Player breakdown
Herb Haygood
Michigan St. · 2002 Draft Class
5-11193 lbs5th round, 144th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~48
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
33%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | DEN | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11 | 35 | 539 | 2 | 15.4 | 49 |
| 2001 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 11 | 52 | 759 | 4 | 14.6 | 69 |
| Career | 22 | 87 | 1,298 | 6 | 14.9 | 59.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.386
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.99x — route-running independent of system+0.175
BMI 26.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.160
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.471
+4.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.546
0.27 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.344