Player breakdown
Isaiah Hodgins
Oregon St. · 2020 Draft Class
6-4210 lbs6th round, 207th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2TM | 10 | 5 | 48 | 37 | 392 | 10.6 | 4 | 39.2 |
| 2022 | BUF | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 10.3 | 0 | 20.5 |
| 2022 | NYG | 8 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 351 | 10.6 | 4 | 43.9 |
| 2023 | NYG | 17 | 9 | 33 | 21 | 230 | 11 | 3 | 13.5 |
| 2024 | NYG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025 | NYG | 7 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 115 | 11.5 | 1 | 16.4 |
| Career | 47 | 24 | 150 | 107 | 1,141 | 10.7 | 12 | 24.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 11 | 31 | 275 | 2 | 8.9 | 25 |
| 2018 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 11 | 59 | 876 | 5 | 14.8 | 79.6 |
| 2019 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 12 | 86 | 1,171 | 13 | 13.6 | 97.6 |
| Career | 34 | 176 | 2,322 | 20 | 13.2 | 68.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
94%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.327
Physical production synergy+0.326
BMI 25.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (210 lbs)+0.246
Top Negative Factors
Recruit dominator synergy-0.271
Improvement accelerating (+3.3) — getting better faster each year-0.264
+12.3 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.263