Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Isaiah Sategna
Isaiah Sategna

Player breakdown

Isaiah Sategna

Oklahoma · 2026 Draft Class

5-11170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

41%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022ArkansasSEC4212063
2023ArkansasSEC121512928.610.8
2024ArkansasSEC1237491113.340.9
2025OklahomaSEC1367965814.474.2
Career411211,5971113.239.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

38%

ML model output

Context Prob

55%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.109
0.62 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.224
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.94 — elite recruit at elite school+0.212

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.549
Improvement accelerating (+79.4) — getting better faster each year-0.528
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.366

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)