Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacob Cowing
Jacob Cowing

Player breakdown

Jacob Cowing

Arizona · 2024 Draft Class

5-8168 lbs4th round, 135th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

89%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024SFO15064802005.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019UTEPCUSA1231550317.745.8
2020UTEPCUSA841691316.986.4
2021UTEPCUSA13691,354719.6104.2
2022ArizonaPac-1212851,034712.286.2
2023ArizonaPac-121390848139.465.2
Career583164,4773314.277.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

97%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.306
Recruit dominator synergy+0.445
Physical production synergy+0.418

Top Negative Factors

Efficiency consistency: 1.13 — highly consistent across seasons-0.277
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.231
Speed dominator composite-0.141

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)