Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacob De Jesus
Jacob De Jesus

Player breakdown

Jacob De Jesus

California · 2026 Draft Class

5-7170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

44%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2023Nevada-Las VegasMWC1460606210.143.3
2024Nevada-Las VegasMWC1336512314.239.4
2025CaliforniaACC131081,03069.579.2
Career402042,1481110.553.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

44%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.161
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.86x — route-running independent of system+0.207
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.187

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.698
Physical production synergy-0.496
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.350

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)