Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jamaar Taylor
Jamaar Taylor

Player breakdown

Jamaar Taylor

Texas A&M · 2004 Draft Class

6-1197 lbs6th round, 168th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

42%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2004NYG8017614624.3018.3
2005NYG50100000
Career13018614624.3011.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001Texas A&MBig 121039489312.548.9
2002Texas A&MBig 121044760317.376
2003Texas A&MBig 12625456418.276
Career261081,7051015.865.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

87%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

5

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.233
BMI 26.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.202
65.6 career ypg — solid college production+0.141

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.544
Accounted for 1.79 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.378
+11.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.311

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)