Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jamari Thrash
Jamari Thrash

Player breakdown

Jamari Thrash

Louisville · 2024 Draft Class

6-0188 lbs5th round, 156th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

46%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024CLE9073227.302.4
2025CLE91151010710.7011.9
Career18122131299.907.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019Georgia StateSun Belt321708.55.7
2020Georgia StateSun Belt99161217.917.9
2021Georgia StateSun Belt1332452314.134.8
2022Georgia StateSun Belt12611,122718.493.5
2023LouisvilleACC1263858613.671.5
Career491672,6101815.653.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

47%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.288
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (188 lbs)+0.225
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.164

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.574
Improvement accelerating (+65.0) — getting better faster each year-0.428
Recruit dominator synergy-0.234

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)