Player breakdown
Jason Hill
Washington St. · 2007 Draft Class
6-0204 lbs3rd round, 76th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
24%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | SFO | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.2 |
| 2008 | SFO | 16 | 2 | 40 | 30 | 317 | 10.6 | 2 | 19.8 |
| 2009 | SFO | 11 | 0 | 16 | 9 | 90 | 10 | 2 | 8.2 |
| 2010 | JAX | 6 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 248 | 22.5 | 1 | 41.3 |
| 2011 | JAX | 10 | 10 | 55 | 25 | 367 | 14.7 | 3 | 36.7 |
| 2012 | NYJ | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | 3.8 |
| Career | 52 | 13 | 137 | 78 | 1,043 | 13.4 | 9 | 20.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 11 | 45 | 1,007 | 12 | 22.4 | 91.5 |
| 2005 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10 | 62 | 1,097 | 13 | 17.7 | 109.7 |
| 2006 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 10 | 41 | 600 | 7 | 14.6 | 60 |
| Career | 31 | 148 | 2,704 | 32 | 18.3 | 87.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.332
47.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.313
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.285
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.627
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.416
Efficiency consistency: 1.22 — highly consistent across seasons-0.243