Player breakdown
Jason McAddley
Alabama · 2002 Draft Class
6-1203 lbs5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | ARI | 9 | 8 | 69 | 25 | 362 | 14.5 | 1 | 40.2 |
| 2003 | ARI | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 53 | 13.3 | 0 | 26.5 |
| 2004 | TEN | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 0 | 3.5 |
| 2005 | SFO | 12 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 125 | 17.9 | 0 | 10.4 |
| Career | 34 | 11 | 100 | 38 | 578 | 15.2 | 1 | 17.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Alabama | SEC | 11 | 27 | 413 | 3 | 15.3 | 37.5 |
| 2001 | Alabama | SEC | 11 | 18 | 259 | 2 | 14.4 | 23.5 |
| Career | 22 | 45 | 672 | 5 | 14.9 | 30.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 33% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.183
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.668
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.168
Top Negative Factors
-25.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.752
0.23 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.457
Physical production synergy-0.451