Player breakdown
Jeff Caldwell
Cincinnati · 2026 Draft Class
6-5216 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
48%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 13 | 32 | 478 | 6 | 14.9 | 36.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
49%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.158
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.670
Recruit dominator synergy+0.483
Top Negative Factors
-20.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Physical production synergy-0.419
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.412