Player breakdown
Mecole Hardman
Georgia · 2019 Draft Class
5-10187 lbs2nd round, 56th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
71%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | KAN | 16 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 538 | 20.7 | 6 | 33.6 |
| 2020 | KAN | 16 | 8 | 62 | 41 | 560 | 13.7 | 4 | 35 |
| 2021 | KAN | 17 | 8 | 83 | 59 | 693 | 11.7 | 2 | 40.8 |
| 2022 | KAN | 8 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 297 | 11.9 | 4 | 37.1 |
| 2023 | 2TM | 11 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 124 | 8.3 | 0 | 11.3 |
| 2023 | NYJ | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | KAN | 6 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 118 | 8.4 | 0 | 19.7 |
| 2024 | KAN | 12 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 7.5 |
| 2025 | BUF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 93 | 30 | 283 | 193 | 2,426 | 12.6 | 16 | 26.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Georgia | SEC | 15 | 25 | 418 | 4 | 16.7 | 27.9 |
| 2018 | Georgia | SEC | 14 | 34 | 532 | 7 | 15.6 | 38 |
| Career | 29 | 59 | 950 | 11 | 16.1 | 32.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
35%
ML model output
Context Prob
87%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.181
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.99 — elite recruit at elite school+0.186
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (187 lbs)+0.167
Top Negative Factors
-21.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
Accounted for 1.50 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.409
Physical production synergy-0.391