Player breakdown
Jekail Middlebrook
Middle Tennessee State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 4 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 7.8 | 7.8 |
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 9 | 22 | 163 | 1 | 7.4 | 18.1 |
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 11 | 40 | 412 | 3 | 10.3 | 37.5 |
| Career | 24 | 66 | 606 | 4 | 9.2 | 25.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.445
7.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.261
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.96x — route-running independent of system+0.225
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.757
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.743
Improvement accelerating (+12.3) — getting better faster each year-0.601