Player breakdown
Jeris McIntyre
Auburn · 2004 Draft Class
5-11203 lbs6th round, 195th overallAge: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Auburn | SEC | 11 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 6 | 3.3 |
| 2001 | Auburn | SEC | 9 | 12 | 187 | 0 | 15.6 | 20.8 |
| 2002 | Auburn | SEC | 13 | 10 | 129 | 1 | 12.9 | 9.9 |
| 2003 | Auburn | SEC | 13 | 41 | 621 | 3 | 15.1 | 47.8 |
| Career | 46 | 69 | 973 | 4 | 14.1 | 21.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
38%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
3.3 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.270
Team averaged 24.8 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.151
BMI 28.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.150
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.349
-34.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.584
Physical production synergy-0.514