Player breakdown
Jonathan Baldwin
Pittsburgh · 2011 Draft Class
6-6233 lbs1st round, 26th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
44%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | KAN | 11 | 3 | 52 | 21 | 254 | 12.1 | 1 | 23.1 |
| 2012 | KAN | 15 | 7 | 47 | 20 | 325 | 16.3 | 1 | 21.7 |
| 2013 | SFO | 7 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 0 | 4 |
| Career | 33 | 11 | 108 | 44 | 607 | 13.8 | 2 | 18.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Pitt | Big East | 13 | 18 | 404 | 3 | 22.4 | 31.1 |
| 2009 | Pitt | Big East | 13 | 57 | 1,111 | 8 | 19.5 | 85.5 |
| 2010 | Pitt | Big East | 13 | 53 | 822 | 5 | 15.5 | 63.2 |
| Career | 39 | 128 | 2,337 | 16 | 18.3 | 59.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
26%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 22% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.106
Physical production synergy+0.282
BMI 26.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (233 lbs)+0.241
Top Negative Factors
+3.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.717
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.306
Efficiency consistency: 1.23 — highly consistent across seasons-0.303