Player breakdown
Jordan Addison
USC · 2023 Draft Class
5-11173 lbs1st round, 23rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~24
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | MIN | 17 | 14 | 108 | 70 | 911 | 13 | 10 | 53.6 |
| 2024 | MIN | 15 | 15 | 99 | 63 | 875 | 13.9 | 9 | 58.3 |
| 2025 | MIN | 14 | 12 | 79 | 42 | 610 | 14.5 | 3 | 43.6 |
| Career | 46 | 41 | 286 | 175 | 2,396 | 13.7 | 22 | 52.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Pitt | ACC | 10 | 60 | 666 | 4 | 11.1 | 66.6 |
| 2021 | Pitt | ACC | 14 | 100 | 1,593 | 17 | 15.9 | 113.8 |
| 2022 | USC | Pac-12 | 11 | 59 | 875 | 8 | 14.8 | 79.5 |
| Career | 35 | 219 | 3,134 | 29 | 14.3 | 89.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
75%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.244
Physical production synergy+0.385
BMI 24.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (173 lbs)+0.240
Top Negative Factors
Accounted for 1.61 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.438
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.261
Recruit dominator synergy-0.213