Player breakdown
Jerry Jeudy
Alabama · 2020 Draft Class
6-1193 lbs1st round, 15th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
94%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | DEN | 16 | 14 | 113 | 52 | 856 | 16.5 | 3 | 53.5 |
| 2021 | DEN | 10 | 5 | 56 | 38 | 467 | 12.3 | 0 | 46.7 |
| 2022 | DEN | 15 | 14 | 100 | 67 | 972 | 14.5 | 6 | 64.8 |
| 2023 | DEN | 16 | 11 | 87 | 54 | 758 | 14 | 2 | 47.4 |
| 2024 | CLE | 17 | 16 | 145 | 90 | 1,229 | 13.7 | 4 | 72.3 |
| 2025 | CLE | 17 | 16 | 106 | 50 | 602 | 12 | 2 | 35.4 |
| Career | 91 | 76 | 607 | 351 | 4,884 | 13.9 | 17 | 53.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Alabama | SEC | 14 | 14 | 264 | 2 | 18.9 | 18.9 |
| 2018 | Alabama | SEC | 15 | 68 | 1,315 | 14 | 19.3 | 87.7 |
| 2019 | Alabama | SEC | 13 | 77 | 1,163 | 10 | 15.1 | 89.5 |
| Career | 42 | 159 | 2,742 | 26 | 17.2 | 65.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 33% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.189
Physical production synergy+0.256
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.239
Top Negative Factors
+10.9 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.672
Improvement accelerating (+4.0) — getting better faster each year-0.257
Recruit dominator synergy-0.257