Player breakdown
Jordan Matthews
Vanderbilt · 2014 Draft Class
6-3212 lbs2nd round, 42nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
77%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | PHI | 16 | 10 | 103 | 67 | 872 | 13 | 8 | 54.5 |
| 2015 | PHI | 16 | 12 | 126 | 85 | 997 | 11.7 | 8 | 62.3 |
| 2016 | PHI | 14 | 13 | 117 | 73 | 804 | 11 | 3 | 57.4 |
| 2017 | BUF | 10 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 282 | 11.3 | 1 | 28.2 |
| 2018 | PHI | 14 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 300 | 15 | 2 | 21.4 |
| 2019 | PHI | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 0 | 16.5 |
| Career | 72 | 46 | 422 | 274 | 3,288 | 12.0 | 22 | 45.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 12 | 15 | 181 | 4 | 12.1 | 15.1 |
| 2011 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 13 | 41 | 778 | 5 | 19 | 59.8 |
| 2012 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 13 | 94 | 1,323 | 8 | 14.1 | 101.8 |
| 2013 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 13 | 112 | 1,477 | 7 | 13.2 | 113.6 |
| Career | 51 | 262 | 3,759 | 24 | 14.3 | 73.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
79%
ML model output
Context Prob
63%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.508
41.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.303
Speed × production: 158.3 — elite combined athletic output+0.247
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.611
Improvement accelerating (+7.2) — getting better faster each year-0.352
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.302