Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Chris Givens
Chris Givens

Player breakdown

Chris Givens

Wake Forest · 2012 Draft Class

5-11198 lbs4th round, 96th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012STL1512804269816.6346.5
2013STL1613833456916.7035.6
2014STL140201115914.5111.4
20152TM156542035317.7123.5
2015STL30117702.3
2015BAL126531934618.2128.8
Career75372911272,13216.8628.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007Miami (OH)MAC1325430217.233.1
2008Miami (OH)MAC1235513714.742.8
2009Wake ForestACC124562981452.4
2009Miami (OH)MAC2119808.949
2010Wake ForestACC1135514414.746.7
2010Miami (OH)MAC1126385114.835
2011Wake ForestACC13831,330916102.3
2011Miami (OH)MAC1060695511.669.5
Career843204,5943614.454.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

82%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical production synergy+0.514
BMI 27.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (198 lbs)+0.251
Speed × production: 147.1 — elite combined athletic output+0.217

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.265
+14.3 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.245
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.226

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)