Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordan Whittington
Jordan Whittington

Player breakdown

Jordan Whittington

Texas · 2024 Draft Class

6-1205 lbs6th round, 213th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

31%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024LAR153282229313.3019.5
2025LAR17625181719.5010.1
Career329534046411.6014.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019TexasBig 12121708.517
2020TexasBig 1252120609.841.2
2021TexasBig 12826377314.547.1
2022TexasBig 12135065211350.2
2023TexasBig 12144250511236.1
Career411411,757512.542.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

63%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.434
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.298
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.89 — elite recruit at elite school+0.193

Top Negative Factors

-13.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Improvement accelerating (+37.4) — getting better faster each year-0.517
0.12 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.487

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)