Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jordyn Tyson
Jordyn Tyson

Player breakdown

Jordyn Tyson

Arizona State · 2026 Draft Class

6-2203 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x1
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.5M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

81%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022ColoradoPac-12922470421.452.2
2024Arizona StateBig 1212751,1011014.791.8
2025Arizona StateBig 12961711811.779
Career301582,2822214.476.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

82%

ML model output

Context Prob

60%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.090
39.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.306
+30.3 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.292

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.605
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.360
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.201

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)