Player breakdown
Kaden Prather
Maryland · 2025 Draft Class
6-4204 lbs7th round, 240th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 12 | 12 | 175 | 0 | 14.6 | 14.6 |
| 2022 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 11 | 52 | 501 | 3 | 9.6 | 45.5 |
| 2023 | Maryland | Big Ten | 13 | 42 | 666 | 5 | 15.9 | 51.2 |
| 2024 | Maryland | Big Ten | 12 | 56 | 624 | 4 | 11.1 | 52 |
| Career | 48 | 162 | 1,966 | 12 | 12.1 | 41.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.208
Recruit dominator synergy+0.402
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.91 — elite recruit at elite school+0.203
Top Negative Factors
-4.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.714
Accounted for 1.40 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.400
Physical production synergy-0.385