Player breakdown
Keenan Howry
Oregon · 2003 Draft Class
5-10178 lbs7th round, 221st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | MIN | 16 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 0.9 |
| 2004 | MIN | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Career | 19 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11 | 47 | 721 | 5 | 15.3 | 65.5 |
| 2001 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 11 | 49 | 649 | 8 | 13.2 | 59 |
| 2002 | Oregon | Pac-10 | 13 | 40 | 784 | 5 | 19.6 | 60.3 |
| Career | 35 | 136 | 2,154 | 18 | 15.8 | 61.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
3%
ML model output
Context Prob
67%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.455
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (178 lbs)+0.215
15.8 career YPR — strong efficiency+0.149
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.573
+9.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.561
Physical production synergy-0.398