Player breakdown
Kendall Newson
Middle Tenn. St. · 2002 Draft Class
6-2200 lbs7th round, 222nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | MIA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 55 | 27.5 | 0 | 9.2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Middle Tennessee State | Ind | 11 | 74 | 945 | 5 | 12.8 | 85.9 |
| 2001 | Middle Tennessee State | Sun Belt | 11 | 65 | 796 | 7 | 12.2 | 72.4 |
| Career | 22 | 139 | 1,741 | 12 | 12.5 | 79.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
38%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.747
35.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.327
0.55 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.200
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.663
Physical production synergy-0.415
Recruit dominator synergy-0.215