Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kevin Walter
Kevin Walter

Player breakdown

Kevin Walter

Eastern Michigan · 2003 Draft Class

7th round, 255th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003CIN1104318601.6
2004CIN16098678.404.2
2005CIN162291921111.1113.2
2006HOU16221171609.4010
2007HOU16151066580012.3450
2008HOU1616956089915856.2
2009HOU1414705361111.5243.6
2010HOU1616805162112.2538.8
2011HOU1514593947412.2331.6
2012HOU1614684151812.6232.4
Career152935413564,37912.32528.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Eastern MichiganMAC1155721513.165.5
2001Eastern MichiganMAC1162748612.168
2002Eastern MichiganMAC12931,368914.7114
Career342102,8372013.583.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

13%

ML model output

Context Prob

60%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical production synergy+0.358
Accounted for 3.10 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.203
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.190

Top Negative Factors

+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.699
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.586
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.357

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)