Player breakdown
K.J. Hill
Ohio St. · 2020 Draft Class
6-0196 lbs7th round, 220th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
20%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 11 | 18 | 262 | 1 | 14.6 | 23.8 |
| 2017 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 14 | 56 | 549 | 3 | 9.8 | 39.2 |
| 2018 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 14 | 70 | 885 | 6 | 12.6 | 63.2 |
| 2019 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 14 | 57 | 636 | 10 | 11.2 | 45.4 |
| Career | 53 | 201 | 2,332 | 20 | 11.6 | 44.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.190
Recruit dominator synergy+0.321
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.98x — route-running independent of system+0.187
Top Negative Factors
-10.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.718
Accounted for 1.58 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.404
Improvement accelerating (+2.4) — getting better faster each year-0.380