Player breakdown
Kyle Williams
Washington St. · 2025 Draft Class
5-11190 lbs3rd round, 69th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | SFO | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.6 |
| 2011 | SFO | 13 | 1 | 31 | 20 | 241 | 12.1 | 3 | 18.5 |
| 2012 | SFO | 11 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 212 | 15.1 | 1 | 19.3 |
| 2013 | SFO | 9 | 5 | 27 | 12 | 113 | 9.4 | 0 | 12.6 |
| 2025 | NWE | 17 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 209 | 20.9 | 3 | 12.3 |
| Career | 55 | 9 | 102 | 57 | 783 | 13.7 | 7 | 14.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Idaho | Sun Belt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.7 |
| 2006 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 6 | 4 | 87 | 0 | 21.8 | 14.5 |
| 2007 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 13 | 29 | 360 | 6 | 12.4 | 27.7 |
| 2008 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 11 | 19 | 364 | 4 | 19.2 | 33.1 |
| 2009 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 11 | 57 | 815 | 8 | 14.3 | 74.1 |
| 2016 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 11 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 9.3 | 5.1 |
| 2017 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 13 | 66 | 763 | 7 | 11.6 | 58.7 |
| 2018 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 13 | 44 | 449 | 2 | 10.2 | 34.5 |
| 2019 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 13 | 45 | 482 | 2 | 10.7 | 37.1 |
| 2020 | Nevada-Las Vegas | MWC | 6 | 35 | 426 | 2 | 12.2 | 71 |
| 2021 | Nevada-Las Vegas | MWC | 10 | 42 | 601 | 2 | 14.3 | 60.1 |
| 2022 | Nevada-Las Vegas | MWC | 9 | 40 | 541 | 5 | 13.5 | 60.1 |
| 2023 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 12 | 61 | 843 | 6 | 13.8 | 70.3 |
| 2024 | Washington State | Ind | 13 | 70 | 1,198 | 14 | 17.1 | 92.2 |
| Career | 144 | 519 | 6,987 | 58 | 13.5 | 48.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
17%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.467
BMI 26.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.243
Accounted for 3.00 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.166
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.759
Improvement accelerating (+1.5) — getting better faster each year-0.232
52.6 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.171