Player breakdown
Laquon Treadwell
Mississippi · 2016 Draft Class
6-2221 lbs1st round, 23rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
43%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | MIN | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1.7 |
| 2017 | MIN | 16 | 7 | 35 | 20 | 200 | 10 | 0 | 12.5 |
| 2018 | MIN | 15 | 7 | 53 | 35 | 302 | 8.6 | 1 | 20.1 |
| 2019 | MIN | 13 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 184 | 20.4 | 1 | 14.2 |
| 2020 | ATL | 5 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 8.2 | 2 | 9.8 |
| 2021 | JAX | 12 | 7 | 51 | 33 | 434 | 13.2 | 1 | 36.2 |
| 2022 | SEA | 6 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 2023 | BAL | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 3.2 |
| Career | 81 | 24 | 178 | 111 | 1,242 | 11.2 | 5 | 15.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | Ole Miss | SEC | 13 | 72 | 608 | 5 | 8.4 | 46.8 |
| 2014 | Ole Miss | SEC | 9 | 48 | 632 | 5 | 13.2 | 70.2 |
| 2015 | Ole Miss | SEC | 13 | 82 | 1,153 | 11 | 14.1 | 88.7 |
| Career | 35 | 202 | 2,393 | 21 | 11.8 | 68.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
43%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.298
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.99 — elite recruit at elite school+0.241
0.60 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.207
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.463
Recruit dominator synergy-0.299
+11.4 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.271