Predicting the Pros
Predictions/LaTarence Dunbar
LaTarence Dunbar

Player breakdown

LaTarence Dunbar

TCU · 2003 Draft Class

5-11196 lbs6th round, 196th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (196 lbs)+0.163
Efficiency consistency: 1.07 — highly consistent across seasons+0.157
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.134

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.305
-17.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.575
Physical production synergy-0.508

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)