Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Laviska Shenault Jr.
Laviska Shenault Jr.

Player breakdown

Laviska Shenault Jr.

Colorado · 2020 Draft Class

6-1227 lbs2nd round, 42nd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
EliteAll-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

78%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020JAX1412795860010.3542.9
2021JAX1610100636199.8038.7
2022CAR134322727210.1120.9
2023CAR80101060607.5
2024SEA11155367.203.3
Career62272261631,5879.7625.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017ColoradoPac-1212716802414
2018ColoradoPac-129861,011611.8112.3
2019ColoradoPac-121156764413.669.5
Career321491,9431013.060.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

66%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical production synergy+0.248
BMI 29.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (227 lbs)+0.223
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.06x — route-running independent of system+0.159

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.296
+3.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.534
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.334

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)