Player breakdown
Lee Mays
Texas-El Paso · 2002 Draft Class
6-1190 lbs6th round, 202nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | PIT | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2003 | PIT | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 2004 | PIT | 16 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 137 | 15.2 | 0 | 8.6 |
| Career | 48 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 154 | 14.0 | 0 | 3.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | UTEP | WAC | 11 | 71 | 1,110 | 15 | 15.6 | 100.9 |
| 2001 | UTEP | WAC | 11 | 53 | 733 | 1 | 13.8 | 66.6 |
| Career | 22 | 124 | 1,843 | 16 | 14.9 | 83.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
29%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.698
+29.4 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.282
BMI 25.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (190 lbs)+0.209
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.523
Physical production synergy-0.459
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.353