Player breakdown
Malachi Corley
Western Kentucky · 2024 Draft Class
5-11215 lbs3rd round, 65th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NYJ | 9 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | CLE | 13 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 79 | 7.2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Career | 22 | 6 | 20 | 14 | 95 | 6.8 | 0 | 4.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 9 | 6 | 65 | 0 | 10.8 | 7.2 |
| 2021 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 14 | 73 | 691 | 7 | 9.5 | 49.4 |
| 2022 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 14 | 101 | 1,295 | 11 | 12.8 | 92.5 |
| 2023 | Western Kentucky | CUSA | 12 | 79 | 984 | 11 | 12.5 | 82 |
| Career | 49 | 259 | 3,035 | 29 | 11.7 | 61.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
7.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.266
0.59 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.184
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.181
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.802
+6.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.705
Improvement accelerating (+18.9) — getting better faster each year-0.595