Player breakdown
Rashee Rice
SMU · 2023 Draft Class
6-1204 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
25%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | KAN | 16 | 8 | 102 | 79 | 938 | 11.9 | 7 | 58.6 |
| 2024 | KAN | 4 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 288 | 12 | 2 | 72 |
| 2025 | KAN | 8 | 8 | 78 | 53 | 571 | 10.8 | 5 | 71.4 |
| Career | 28 | 20 | 209 | 156 | 1,797 | 11.5 | 14 | 64.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | SMU | American | 10 | 25 | 403 | 1 | 16.1 | 40.3 |
| 2020 | SMU | American | 10 | 48 | 683 | 5 | 14.2 | 68.3 |
| 2021 | SMU | American | 12 | 64 | 670 | 9 | 10.5 | 55.8 |
| 2022 | SMU | American | 12 | 96 | 1,355 | 10 | 14.1 | 112.9 |
| Career | 44 | 233 | 3,111 | 25 | 13.4 | 70.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
20%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.182
BMI 26.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (204 lbs)+0.212
0.57 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.198
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.535
Improvement accelerating (+2.4) — getting better faster each year-0.352
Efficiency consistency: 1.21 — highly consistent across seasons-0.268