Player breakdown
Malachi Toney
Miami (FL) · 2028 Draft Class
5-10182 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Elite
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
77%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 16 | 109 | 1,211 | 10 | 11.1 | 75.7 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
83%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.159
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.815
0.62 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.196
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.474
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.354
Recruit dominator synergy-0.201