Player breakdown
Parker Washington
Penn St. · 2023 Draft Class
5-10201 lbs6th round, 185th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
33%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | JAX | 9 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 132 | 8.3 | 2 | 14.7 |
| 2024 | JAX | 17 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 390 | 12.2 | 3 | 22.9 |
| 2025 | JAX | 16 | 7 | 95 | 58 | 847 | 14.6 | 5 | 52.9 |
| Career | 42 | 15 | 167 | 106 | 1,369 | 12.9 | 10 | 32.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9 | 36 | 489 | 6 | 13.6 | 54.3 |
| 2021 | Penn State | Big Ten | 13 | 64 | 820 | 4 | 12.8 | 63.1 |
| 2022 | Penn State | Big Ten | 10 | 46 | 611 | 2 | 13.3 | 61.1 |
| Career | 32 | 146 | 1,920 | 12 | 13.2 | 60.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.185
Physical production synergy+0.443
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.91 — elite recruit at elite school+0.224
Top Negative Factors
+4.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.699
Accounted for 1.69 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.385
0.38 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.312