Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Malcolm Mitchell
Malcolm Mitchell

Player breakdown

Malcolm Mitchell

Georgia · 2016 Draft Class

6-0198 lbs4th round, 112th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~34
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

43%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016NWE146483240112.5428.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011GeorgiaSEC1145665414.860.5
2012GeorgiaSEC1340572414.344
2014GeorgiaSEC9312483827.6
2015GeorgiaSEC1358865514.966.5
Career461742,3501613.551.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

85%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.213
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.205
BMI 26.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (198 lbs)+0.194

Top Negative Factors

-3.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.744
0.35 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.326
Recruit dominator synergy-0.308

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)