Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Malik Washington
Malik Washington

Player breakdown

Malik Washington

Virginia · 2024 Draft Class

5-9191 lbs6th round, 184th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

31%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024MIA14336262238.6015.9
2025MIA17665463176.9318.6
Career319101725407.5317.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019NorthwesternBig Ten1162504.22.3
2020NorthwesternBig Ten5551010.210.2
2021NorthwesternBig Ten1244578213.148.2
2022NorthwesternBig Ten1265694110.757.8
2023VirginiaACC121101,426913118.8
Career522302,7741212.153.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

27%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

+64.4 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.302
Accounted for 3.60 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.196
Speed × production: 136.4 — elite combined athletic output+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.447
Improvement accelerating (+56.0) — getting better faster each year-0.420
Physical production synergy-0.383

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)