Player breakdown
Mario Urrutia
Louisville · 2008 Draft Class
6-5232 lbs7th round, 246th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
64%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Louisville | Big East | 11 | 37 | 797 | 7 | 21.5 | 72.5 |
| 2006 | Louisville | Big East | 13 | 58 | 973 | 6 | 16.8 | 74.8 |
| 2007 | Louisville | Big East | 10 | 35 | 501 | 3 | 14.3 | 50.1 |
| Career | 34 | 130 | 2,271 | 16 | 17.5 | 66.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
68%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.244
Recruit dominator synergy+0.447
BMI 27.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (232 lbs)+0.207
Top Negative Factors
+9.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.720
Efficiency consistency: 1.23 — highly consistent across seasons-0.298
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.206