Player breakdown
Marquess Wilson
Washington St. · 2013 Draft Class
6-3194 lbs7th round, 236th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | CHI | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 1.3 |
| 2014 | CHI | 7 | 6 | 32 | 17 | 140 | 8.2 | 1 | 20 |
| 2015 | CHI | 11 | 6 | 51 | 28 | 464 | 16.6 | 1 | 42.2 |
| 2016 | CHI | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 160 | 17.8 | 1 | 53.3 |
| Career | 31 | 14 | 102 | 56 | 777 | 13.9 | 3 | 25.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Washington State | Pac-10 | 12 | 55 | 1,006 | 6 | 18.3 | 83.8 |
| 2011 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 12 | 82 | 1,388 | 12 | 16.9 | 115.7 |
| 2012 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 9 | 52 | 813 | 5 | 15.6 | 90.3 |
| Career | 33 | 189 | 3,207 | 23 | 17.0 | 97.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.360
BMI 24.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (194 lbs)+0.254
Class YPR rank: top 12% — elite per-target efficiency+0.166
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.685
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.163
69.4 yards per adjusted target opportunity — dominant efficiency vs. opportunities-0.161